Toll Brothers Stock Analysis

TOL Stock  USD 150.48  4.02  2.74%   
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Toll Brothers extending back to July 08, 1986. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Toll Brothers stands at 150.48, as last reported on the 4th of February, with the highest price reaching 152.00 and the lowest price hitting 147.28 during the day.
IPO Date
30th of December 1987
200 Day MA
127.1167
50 Day MA
139.9924
Beta
1.465
 
Black Monday
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Toll Brothers holds a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.62. At this time, Toll Brothers' Debt Ratio is quite stable compared to the past year. Cash Flow To Debt Ratio is expected to rise to 0.36 this year, although the value of Net Debt will most likely fall to about 1.2 B. Toll Brothers' financial risk is the risk to Toll Brothers stockholders that is caused by an increase in debt.

Asset vs Debt

Equity vs Debt

Toll Brothers' liquidity is one of the most fundamental aspects of both its future profitability and its ability to meet different types of ongoing financial obligations. Toll Brothers' cash, liquid assets, total liabilities, and shareholder equity can be utilized to evaluate how much leverage the Company is using to sustain its current operations. For traders, higher-leverage indicators usually imply a higher risk to shareholders. In addition, it helps Toll Stock's retail investors understand whether an upcoming fall or rise in the market will negatively affect Toll Brothers' stakeholders.
For many companies, including Toll Brothers, marketable securities, inventories, and receivables are the most common assets that could be converted to cash. However, for Toll Brothers, the most critical issue when managing liquidity is ensuring that current assets are properly aligned with current liabilities. If they are not, Toll Brothers' management will need to obtain alternative financing to ensure there are always enough cash equivalents on the balance sheet to meet obligations.
Price Book
1.6553
Enterprise Value Ebitda
8.5137
Price Sales
1.2688
Shares Float
94.2 M
Dividend Share
0.98
Given that Toll Brothers' debt-to-equity ratio measures a Company's obligations relative to the value of its net assets, it is usually used by traders to estimate the extent to which Toll Brothers is acquiring new debt as a mechanism of leveraging its assets. A high debt-to-equity ratio is generally associated with increased risk, implying that it has been aggressive in financing its growth with debt. Another way to look at debt-to-equity ratios is to compare the overall debt load of Toll Brothers to its assets or equity, showing how much of the company assets belong to shareholders vs. creditors. If shareholders own more assets, Toll Brothers is said to be less leveraged. If creditors hold a majority of Toll Brothers' assets, the Company is said to be highly leveraged.
At this time, Toll Brothers' Capital Stock is quite stable compared to the past year. Stock Based Compensation is expected to rise to about 37.2 M this year, although the value of Treasury Stock is projected to rise to (783.5 M). . At this time, Toll Brothers' Price Cash Flow Ratio is quite stable compared to the past year. Price Fair Value is expected to rise to 2.76 this year, although the value of Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is projected to rise to (0.82).
Toll Brothers is overvalued with Real Value of 132.83 and Target Price of 154.13. The main objective of Toll Brothers stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Toll Brothers is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Toll Brothers' stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Toll Brothers stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Toll Brothers. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
For more information on how to buy Toll Stock please use our How to buy in Toll Stock guide.

Toll Stock Analysis Notes

About 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.66. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Toll Brothers has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.17. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 13.49. The firm last dividend was issued on the 9th of January 2026. Toll Brothers had 2:1 split on the 11th of July 2005. Toll Brothers, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, builds, markets, sells, and arranges finance for a range of detached and attached homes in luxury residential communities in the United States. The company was founded in 1967 and is headquartered in Fort Washington, Pennsylvania. Toll Brothers operates under Residential Construction classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 5100 people. To find out more about Toll Brothers contact Douglas Yearley at 215 938 8000 or learn more at https://www.tollbrothers.com.

Toll Brothers Quarterly Total Revenue

3.42 Billion

Toll Brothers Investment Alerts

Over 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 23rd of January 2026 Toll Brothers paid $ 0.25 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from globenewswire.com: Outlook at The Station by Toll Brothers Now Open in Sunnyvale, California

Toll Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Toll Brothers' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
1996-08-22
1996-07-310.10.110.0110 
2013-05-22
2013-04-300.070.090.0228 
2000-05-24
2000-04-300.170.190.0211 
View All Earnings Estimates

Toll Brothers Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Toll Brothers' ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Toll Brothers' performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Toll Brothers' operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Toll Brothers' stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Toll Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Millennium Management Llc2025-06-30
1.5 M
Qube Research & Technologies2025-06-30
1.4 M
Norges Bank2025-06-30
1.4 M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2025-06-30
1.3 M
Holocene Advisors, Lp2025-06-30
1.2 M
Ubs Group Ag2025-06-30
1.2 M
Bamco Inc2025-06-30
1.1 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2025-06-30
1.1 M
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2025-06-30
M
Blackrock Inc2025-06-30
11.2 M
Vanguard Group Inc2025-06-30
9.7 M
Note, although Toll Brothers' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Toll Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Large-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 13.91 B.

Toll Profitablity

The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.12 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.18 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.18 of operating income.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.11  0.06 
Return On Capital Employed 0.17  0.13 
Return On Assets 0.11  0.06 
Return On Equity 0.19  0.17 

Management Efficiency

Toll Brothers has Return on Asset of 0.0813 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.0813 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.1686 %, implying that it generated $0.1686 on every 100 dollars invested. Toll Brothers' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Toll Brothers manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. The value of Return On Tangible Assets is estimated to slide to 0.06. The value of Return On Capital Employed is expected to slide to 0.13. At this time, Toll Brothers' Fixed Asset Turnover is quite stable compared to the past year.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 75.34  79.11 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 75.34  79.11 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 9.25  9.71 
Price Book Value Ratio 1.86  2.76 
Enterprise Value Multiple 9.25  9.71 
Price Fair Value 1.86  2.76 
Enterprise Value13.5 B14.2 B
The management team at Toll Brothers has a track record of steering the company towards sustained growth. Evaluating their strategies helps in understanding the stock's long-term potential.
Dividend Yield
0.0067
Operating Margin
0.1767
Profit Margin
0.1228
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0068
Beta
1.465

Technical Drivers

As of the 4th of February, Toll Brothers has the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0638, semi deviation of 1.22, and Coefficient Of Variation of 1272.68. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Toll Brothers, as well as the relationship between them. Please validate Toll Brothers standard deviation, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the Maximum Drawdown and expected short fall to decide if Toll Brothers is priced more or less accurately, providing market reflects its prevalent price of 150.48 per share. Given that Toll Brothers has jensen alpha of 0.0732, we advise you to double-check Toll Brothers's current market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Toll Brothers Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was twenty-three with a total number of output elements of thirty-eight. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Toll Brothers middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Toll Brothers. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Toll Brothers Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Toll Brothers insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Toll Brothers' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Toll Brothers insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Toll Brothers Outstanding Bonds

Toll Brothers issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Toll Brothers uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Toll bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Toll Brothers has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Toll Brothers Predictive Daily Indicators

Toll Brothers intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Toll Brothers stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Toll Brothers Corporate Filings

F4
2nd of February 2026
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
29th of January 2026
Other Reports
ViewVerify
F4
20th of January 2026
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
16th of January 2026
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
12th of January 2026
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
7th of January 2026
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
13A
6th of January 2026
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
F4
30th of December 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify

Toll Brothers Forecast Models

Toll Brothers' time-series forecasting models are one of many Toll Brothers' stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Toll Brothers' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Toll Brothers Bond Ratings

Toll Brothers financial ratings play a critical role in determining how much Toll Brothers have to pay to access credit markets, i.e., the amount of interest on their issued debt. The threshold between investment-grade and speculative-grade ratings has important market implications for Toll Brothers' borrowing costs.
Piotroski F Score
5
HealthyView
Beneish M Score
(2.20)
Possible ManipulatorView

Toll Brothers Debt to Cash Allocation

Many companies such as Toll Brothers, eventually find out that there is only so much market out there to be conquered, and adding the next product or service is only half as profitable per unit as their current endeavors. Eventually, the company will reach a point where cash flows are strong, and extra cash is available but not fully utilized. In this case, the company may start buying back its stock from the public or issue more dividends.
Toll Brothers has 2.92 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.62, which is OK given its current industry classification. Toll Brothers has a current ratio of 4.77, demonstrating that it is liquid and is capable to disburse its financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Toll to invest in growth at high rates of return.

Toll Brothers Total Assets Over Time

Toll Brothers Assets Financed by Debt

The debt-to-assets ratio shows the degree to which Toll Brothers uses debt to finance its assets. It includes both long-term and short-term borrowings maturing within one year. It also includes both tangible and intangible assets, such as goodwill.

Toll Brothers Debt Ratio

    
  40.0   
It seems about 60% of Toll Brothers' assets are financed through equity. Typically, companies with high debt-to-asset ratios are said to be highly leveraged. The higher the ratio, the greater risk will be associated with the Toll Brothers' operation. In addition, a high debt-to-assets ratio may indicate a low borrowing capacity of Toll Brothers, which in turn will lower the firm's financial flexibility.

Toll Brothers Corporate Bonds Issued

Toll Brothers issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the most significant components of the U.S. bond market and are considered the world's largest securities market. Toll Brothers uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt.

Toll Short Long Term Debt Total

Short Long Term Debt Total

1.94 Billion

At this time, Toll Brothers' Short and Long Term Debt Total is quite stable compared to the past year.

About Toll Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Toll Brothers prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Toll shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Toll Brothers. By using and applying Toll Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Toll entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.19  0.11 
Operating Profit Margin 0.18  0.12 
Net Profit Margin 0.11  0.06 
Gross Profit Margin 0.30  0.24 

Current Toll Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Toll analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Toll analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceConsensus# of Analysts
154.13Strong Buy19Odds
Toll Brothers current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Toll analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Toll stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Toll Brothers, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Toll conference calls.
Toll Analyst Advice Details

Toll Stock Analysis Indicators

Toll Brothers stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Toll Brothers stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Toll Brothers shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Toll Brothers stock analysis, traders can identify Toll Brothers position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow1.4 B
Long Term Debt2.8 B
Common Stock Shares Outstanding99.8 M
Total Stockholder Equity8.3 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-310 M
Tax Provision444.9 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.012
Property Plant And Equipment Net382.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.3 B
Cash1.3 B
Accounts Payable615.8 M
Net Debt1.7 B
50 Day M A139.9924
Total Current Liabilities3.1 B
Other Operating Expenses9.2 B
Non Current Assets Total1.6 B
Forward Price Earnings10.8932
Non Currrent Assets Other167.7 M
Stock Based Compensation30.8 M
When determining whether Toll Brothers is a strong investment it is important to analyze Toll Brothers' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Toll Brothers' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Toll Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Toll Brothers. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
For more information on how to buy Toll Stock please use our How to buy in Toll Stock guide.
You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..
Is Household Durables space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Toll Brothers. If investors know Toll will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Toll Brothers assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.01)
Dividend Share
0.98
Earnings Share
13.49
Revenue Per Share
110.8
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.027
Investors evaluate Toll Brothers using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Toll Brothers' intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Toll Brothers' market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Toll Brothers' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Toll Brothers is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Toll Brothers' market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.